• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
1 comment
28 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

66%chance
Authors:
NMorrisonramble
Opened:Apr 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2051
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 17, 2023
Environment & Climate
Technology
American Thinker logo
Thank you for emitting
American Thinker•Oct 27, 2025
Al Jazeera logo
NGOs note 28 new ‘carbon bomb’ projects since 2021
Al Jazeera•Oct 27, 2025
Daily Mail logo
Britain's greenhouse gas emissions have FALLEN by 43.3% since 1990, promising analysis reveals
Daily Mail•Oct 24, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?

18% chance
11

How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2050 in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?

41.5 Gt CO₂e
(28.9 - 60.1)
41.5 Gt CO₂e
(28.9 - 60.1)
7 forecasters

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

33.8B billion tonnes
(17.4B - 49B)
33.8B billion tonnes
(17.4B - 49B)
24 forecasters
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature