34 forecasters

Will Emmanuel Macron dissolve the French National Assembly before the end of his term?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

mavialerys.ingeldir

Opened:

Apr 16, 2023

Closes:

Apr 8, 2027

Resolved:

Jun 9, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 18, 2023

Fresh riots break out on the streets of France amid calls for Macron to RESIGN over his crumbling government: Hundreds arrested

Daily Mail•Sep 11, 2025

France’s streets ablaze as antigovernment protests disrupt daily life

Al Jazeera•Sep 11, 2025

Anti-government protests sweep France as fifth prime minister in two years takes office

Canary•Sep 11, 2025

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