Question

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction

79%

(67% - 87%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 79%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Nov 26, 2018

Closes:

Jan 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 27, 2018

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In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

40%

Comments

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