Question

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction79% (67% - 87%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 79%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

What’s Happening With Google Stock?

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

The shine began to wear off AI in 2024 as advances slowed down

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Google: The Long-Term Threat From OpenAI Is Significant

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

40%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

What’s Happening With Google Stock?

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

The shine began to wear off AI in 2024 as advances slowed down

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Google: The Long-Term Threat From OpenAI Is Significant

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

40%

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Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

Make a Prediction

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

Comments

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?