Question

Will Abdel Fattah al-Burhan be removed from power in Sudan before June 15, 2023?

Resolved :No0.5%

8 comments8

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction0.5% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

89.0

Community Peer Score

3.5

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

May 11, 2023

Closes:

Jun 14, 2023

Resolves:

Jun 15, 2023

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Geopolitics

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Abdel Fattah al-Burhan

Rapid Support Forces

2019 Sudanese coup d'état

Sudan

Sudan files case to UN court alleging UAE is breaching genocide convention by funding rebels

Associated Press•Mar 7, 2025

Peacemaker or peacebreaker? Why Kenya’s good neighbour reputation is marred

Al Jazeera•Mar 7, 2025

Evidence of torture found as detention centre and mass grave discovered outside Khartoum

Guardian•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Which faction in the Sudanese civil war will come out as the victor?

When will the Myanmar military junta collapse?

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before May 1, 2025?

35%

Comments

? comments