Question

Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?

53 comments53

Total Forecasters432

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

median 5.0%mean 10.8%

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

The Boring Company

SpaceX reusable launch system

Trump's former chief of staff says Elon Musk will have an easier time getting to Mars than making proposed DOGE cuts

Business Insider•Nov 23, 2024

Elon Musk Wants to Save the World — and More

PJ Media•Nov 23, 2024

Elon Musk Said Humanity Has 2 Options: 'Extinction Event' or Multiplanetary Exploration?

Snopes•Nov 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?

0.5%

Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?

When will the first tourist land on Mars?

2050-01-02

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

The Boring Company

SpaceX reusable launch system

Trump's former chief of staff says Elon Musk will have an easier time getting to Mars than making proposed DOGE cuts

Business Insider•Nov 23, 2024

Elon Musk Wants to Save the World — and More

PJ Media•Nov 23, 2024

Elon Musk Said Humanity Has 2 Options: 'Extinction Event' or Multiplanetary Exploration?

Snopes•Nov 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?

0.5%

Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?

When will the first tourist land on Mars?

2050-01-02