Question

Will Google integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Search before August 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1%

14 comments14

Total Forecasters136

Community Prediction1% (1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-5.6

Community Peer Score

40.7

Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Apr 19, 2023

Closes:

Jul 30, 2023

Resolves:

Aug 1, 2023

Business of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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Google's new AI Mode is a huge leap away from Search as we know it

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TechCrunch•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

12%

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Apr 19, 2023

Closes:

Jul 30, 2023

Resolves:

Aug 1, 2023

Business of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

ChatGPT isn't slowing down Google just yet, and these numbers prove it

Business Insider•Mar 5, 2025

Google's new AI Mode is a huge leap away from Search as we know it

Business Insider•Mar 6, 2025

Google Search’s new ‘AI Mode’ lets users ask complex, multi-part questions

TechCrunch•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

12%

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?

22%

MetaculusM

Will Google integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Search before August 1, 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?

Comments

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?

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