Question

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters123

Community Prediction94%

Make a Prediction

community: 94%

median 94.0%mean 79.2%

Authors:

RyanBeck zoehtwilliams

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

TaskRabbit

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Facebook

Cyber-security regulation

Information theory

Denial-of-service attack

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

80%

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

70%

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck zoehtwilliams

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

TaskRabbit

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Facebook

Cyber-security regulation

Information theory

Denial-of-service attack

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

80%

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

70%

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Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

Make a Prediction

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Comments

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?