Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

How many YouTube views will "All I Want For Christmas Is You" have on January 6th 2019?

Resolved :536M555M
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction555M (534M - 584M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>700M
...
...
...
...
534.1M
555.5M
583.9M
1.4%

What was the final result?536M

Community Baseline Score
35.5
Community Peer Score
13.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
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