🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will genetic data from a new Denisova hominin be published in the first 6 months of 2019?

Resolved :No33%
4
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction33% (25% - 38%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 33%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
51.6
Community Peer Score
4.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
KrisMoore
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Natural Sciences
2018-2019 Leaderboard
BioRxiv
Genetics
History
Evolutionary biology
Paleontology
Anthropology
Denisova Cave
Denisovan
Neanderthal genetics

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