Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Mega Millions draw on December 11th 2018 contain a prime number?

Resolved :Yes87%
4
7
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction87% (84% - 88%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 87%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
77.1
Community Peer Score
3.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
KrisMoore
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Sports & Entertainment
2018 Leaderboard
Number theory
Mega Millions
Prime number

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