Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will AncestryDNA have 20 million people in their database before July 1st 2019?

Resolved :No42%
6
14
Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction42% (35% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 42%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
23.1
Community Peer Score
2.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
KrisMoore
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
Social Sciences
Technology
2018-2019 Leaderboard
Ancestry.com

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