Question

Will the US-China trade war escalate after the initial truce period ending 24 February 2019?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-8.7

Community Peer Score

5.9

median 25.0%mean 29.1%

Authors:

erik.bjareholt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

erik.bjareholt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Xi-Biden meet: Tariffs to Taiwan, what ails US-China ties as Trump looms

Al Jazeera•Nov 16, 2024

U.S. companies could be caught in the crosshairs if China retaliates to fight Trump

NBC•Nov 16, 2024

How Europe can avoid a trade war in a 2nd Trump term

Business Insider•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%