🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

conditional
condition

US Government Shutdown Before 2024?

Resolved :No
16 forecasters
if yes
if no

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

51%
51%
Resolved :Annulled51.2%

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

51%
51%
1

Make a Prediction

US Government Shutdown Before 2024?

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

50%
community: 51.2%
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
Democratic Party (US)
US Electoral College
United States
2024 Elections (US)
Public health
Medicine
Government shutdowns in the United States
Virology
Joe Biden

Comments

? comments