M

Question

When will a free and public AI be able to write working programs of 50k or more lines of code?

Resolved :Annulled2026-07-28
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction2026-07-28 (2025-06-28 - 2028-10-08)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Jun 2025
medianJul 2026
upper 75%Oct 2028
Upper bound
>2049-12-312.6%

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:
Opened:Jun 13, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Resolves:Jan 1, 2050

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