Question
Will transformer models be the state-of-the-art on most natural language processing benchmarks on January 1, 2027?
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction
90%
(85% - 98%)
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Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch