Question
When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's Moon, or Mars?
Total Forecasters99
Community Prediction2048-09-22 (2037-12-07 - 2070-05-10)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2020-01-01 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2037 | — |
| median | 2048 | — |
| upper 75% | 2070 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100-01-01 | 13.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
