Question
When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's Moon, or Mars?
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction
Mar 2050
(Jul 2038 - 2077)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <Jan 2020 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Jul 2038 | — |
| median | Mar 2050 | — |
| upper 75% | 2077 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 15.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2018
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2018