M

Question

What will be the heaviest payload (in kg) put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service on January 1, 2050?

Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction224k (130k - 409k)

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CDF

weight:
Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1k0.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%129.6k
median224.1k
upper 75%409.3k
Upper bound
>10M0.6%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 9, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050

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