Question

Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?

28 comments28

Total Forecasters157

Community Prediction55% (47% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Social Sciences

Southern Illinois University

Genetics

Animal science

Medicine

‘Extraordinary longevity’: great whales can live a lot longer than we thought – if we leave them alone

Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

Some whales live more than 100 years, smashing previous life expectancy estimates: Report

Independent•Jan 28, 2025

Mice born with two fathers - but don't expect the same for people

New Scientist•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Social Sciences

Southern Illinois University

Genetics

Animal science

Medicine

‘Extraordinary longevity’: great whales can live a lot longer than we thought – if we leave them alone

Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

Some whales live more than 100 years, smashing previous life expectancy estimates: Report

Independent•Jan 28, 2025

Mice born with two fathers - but don't expect the same for people

New Scientist•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%