Question

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters267

Community Prediction2% (1% - 7.8%)

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50%

community: 2%

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Authors:

Jgalt

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Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

No Humans Born In The 1800s Are Still Alive, But These 3 ‘Ultra Surviving’ Animals Are—Here’s Their Story

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Antibodies Could Soon Help Slow the Aging Process

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

Who wants a pig organ? Patients sick and tired of waiting years for a transplant

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

51%

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

10%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

1.81

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

No Humans Born In The 1800s Are Still Alive, But These 3 ‘Ultra Surviving’ Animals Are—Here’s Their Story

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Antibodies Could Soon Help Slow the Aging Process

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

Who wants a pig organ? Patients sick and tired of waiting years for a transplant

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

51%

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

10%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

1.81

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Make a Prediction

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

Comments

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?