Question

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters269

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

median 2.0%mean 9.3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

10%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

‘Time-traveler’ jellyfish found to age backward in accidental discovery

New York Post•Nov 11, 2024

New method could increase fertility for women undergoing IVF and egg freezing

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

Bone Marrow Donors Can Be Hard to Find. One Company Is Turning to Cadavers

Wired•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

10%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15