Question
Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?
Total Forecasters276
Community Prediction
2%
(1% - 6%)
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median 2.0%mean 10.0%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2018
Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?
50%
Closes Dec 31, 2049
Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
7%
Closes Jan 1, 2100
What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?
1.42
Closes Jun 5, 2133
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2018
Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?
50%
Closes Dec 31, 2049
Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
7%
Closes Jan 1, 2100
What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?
1.42
Closes Jun 5, 2133