Question

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

33 comments33

Total Forecasters142

Community Prediction2244-01-02 (2113-04-28 - 2500-01-01)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2500-01-01

...

2113-04-28 16:58

2244-01-02 23:57

>2500-01-01 00:00

30.3%

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Authors:

Jgalt

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Scheduled resolution:

Parker Solar Probe will soon go deeper into the sun than ever before

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

NASA’s Voyager Probes Find Puzzles beyond the Solar System

Scientific American•Dec 13, 2024

From Starship tests to Starliner woes, recapping the biggest spaceflight missions of 2024

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

2351-01-15

What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?

0.00229

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

Comments

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Parker Solar Probe will soon go deeper into the sun than ever before

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

NASA’s Voyager Probes Find Puzzles beyond the Solar System

Scientific American•Dec 13, 2024

From Starship tests to Starliner woes, recapping the biggest spaceflight missions of 2024

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

2351-01-15

What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?

0.00229

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When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

Make a Prediction

When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

Comments

When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?