Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Santiago Peña win the Paraguayan presidential election on April 30th?

Resolved :Yes57%
1
5
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction57% (52% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 57%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
10.4
Community Peer Score
8.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anastasia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q2 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Elections
2023 Leaderboard
Colorado Party (Paraguay)
Mario Abdo Benítez
Santiago Peña
Efraín Alegre
Authentic Radical Liberal Party
Taiwan

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