Question

Will there be more than 10 ministerial resignations in Rishi Sunak’s government before 2024?

Resolved :No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction4.5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

50.0

Community Peer Score

1.9

median 4.5%mean 17.3%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

How many U.S. federal executive department heads will the incoming administration announce between the election and December 16, 2024?

What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?

7.3

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bishop says more C of E senior clergy may need to resign over abuse scandal

Guardian•Nov 13, 2024

Olly Robbins on longlist of 10 vying for UK civil service top job

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

Resignations alone won’t fix the Church of England

Spectator (UK)•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

How many U.S. federal executive department heads will the incoming administration announce between the election and December 16, 2024?

What will inflation in the UK be, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?

7.3