Question

Will there be a commercial service to travel between London and New York City in under three hours before 2030?

36 comments36

Total Forecasters233

Community Prediction6% (3% - 12%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 6%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 16, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Boeing 787 Dreamliner

John F. Kennedy International Airport

Heathrow Airport

Norwegian Air Shuttle

Transatlantic flights flew over 800 mph after freezing weather juiced the jet stream

Business Insider•Jan 23, 2025

Supersonic flight will see a dramatic return in 2025 with new aircraft

New Scientist•Jan 28, 2025

Boom: America’s answer to Concorde prepares for first supersonic flight

CNN•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

2030-12-28

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

66%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 16, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Boeing 787 Dreamliner

John F. Kennedy International Airport

Heathrow Airport

Norwegian Air Shuttle

Transatlantic flights flew over 800 mph after freezing weather juiced the jet stream

Business Insider•Jan 23, 2025

Supersonic flight will see a dramatic return in 2025 with new aircraft

New Scientist•Jan 28, 2025

Boom: America’s answer to Concorde prepares for first supersonic flight

CNN•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

2030-12-28

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

66%