Question

Will there be a commercial service to travel between London and New York City in under three hours before 2030?

36 comments36

Total Forecasters233

Community Prediction8%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 8%

median 8.0%mean 10.1%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Boeing 787 Dreamliner

John F. Kennedy International Airport

Heathrow Airport

Norwegian Air Shuttle

Airbus' A321 jets are reshaping transatlantic travel. I've toured 3 airlines' business classes — here's how they compare.

Business Insider•Nov 23, 2024

British Airways unveils brand-new 'game-changing' first-class suite for the A380 - and the Mail gives it a try. Here's our first impression... what's YOURS?

Daily Mail•Nov 26, 2024

Take a look at the new first-class seats coming to some British Airways planes in 2026

USA Today•Nov 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

2030-12-28

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Boeing 787 Dreamliner

John F. Kennedy International Airport

Heathrow Airport

Norwegian Air Shuttle

Airbus' A321 jets are reshaping transatlantic travel. I've toured 3 airlines' business classes — here's how they compare.

Business Insider•Nov 23, 2024

British Airways unveils brand-new 'game-changing' first-class suite for the A380 - and the Mail gives it a try. Here's our first impression... what's YOURS?

Daily Mail•Nov 26, 2024

Take a look at the new first-class seats coming to some British Airways planes in 2026

USA Today•Nov 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

2030-12-28

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

50%