Question
Will Meghan Markle's book be reported to have outsold Prince Harry's "Spare" within a year after its publication?
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
25%
(20% - 30%)
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Opened:Apr 29, 2023
Closes:Feb 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?
38%
Will a book written by a language model make the NY Times Best Seller list before 2030?
60%
Will King Charles III abdicate the throne of the United Kingdom before September 9, 2032?
10.5%
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 29, 2023
Closes:Feb 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?
38%
Will a book written by a language model make the NY Times Best Seller list before 2030?
60%
Will King Charles III abdicate the throne of the United Kingdom before September 9, 2032?
10.5%