Question
When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction2027-08-16 (2025-12-22 - 2033-06-08)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2060-01-01
...
...
...
...
2025-12-22 02:27
2027-08-16 19:54
2033-06-08 13:13
1.3%
Authors:
Opened:May 2, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2059
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2060
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:May 2, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2059
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2060
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch