Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will SpaceX's next attempt to land a Falcon 9 rocket on a barge be successful?

Resolved :No49%
7
6
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction49% (39% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 49%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
11.6
Community Peer Score
-2.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Technology
2016 Leaderboard
Falcon 9
SpaceX reusable launch system
SpaceX

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