Question

Will the Second Amendment of the United States Constitution be amended or repealed before 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%

31 comments31

Total Forecasters258

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

98.5

Community Peer Score

9.0

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 20, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Verity

Law

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Second Amendment to the United States Constitution

Article Five of the United States Constitution

United States Bill of Rights

Convention to propose amendments to the United States Constitution

Constitution of the US

Courts in ‘State of Disarray’ on Law Disarming Felons

New York Times•Jan 26, 2025

Question of Illegal Aliens Having Second Amendment Rights Goes to Appeals Court

Townhall•Jan 28, 2025

Why Congress Needs To Swiftly Pass Concealed-Carry Reciprocity

Federalist•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new constitutional amendment concerning firearms be ratified in the United States before 2029?

0.1%

Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?

58%

When will the next amendment to the US Constitution be ratified?

2052-01-15

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