M

Question

Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No0.3%
Community Prediction0%3%6%9%12%15%May 02May 06May 10May 14May 18May 22May 26May 30Jun 03Jun 07Jun 11Jun 15Jun 19Jun 23Jun 27now
Total Forecasters304
Community Prediction0.3% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.7
Community Peer Score
5.0
Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2023
Closes:Jul 1, 2023
Resolves:Jul 1, 2023

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