Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Federal Government of the United States partially shut down (temporarily) by 22 December 2018?

Resolved :Yes12%
3
27
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction12% (10% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 12%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-25.0
Community Peer Score
-5.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2018 Leaderboard
Democratic Party (US)
US Congress
United States
Republican Party (US)
Donald Trump
US Senate

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