Question

When will the average survival rate of all cancers exceed 75%?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction2029-04-14 (2026-02-28 - 2033-07-22)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-12-08

...

2026-02-28 01:20

2029-04-14 17:58

2033-07-22 20:31

9.2%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Social Sciences

National Cancer Institute

Stage 4 breast cancer patient given 2 years to live survives with ‘fourth pillar’ of treatments

New York Post•Dec 18, 2024

Americans are living longer, thanks to pandemic's end, fewer opioid deaths

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

2051-05-05

When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

2040-04-24

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

43%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Social Sciences

National Cancer Institute

Stage 4 breast cancer patient given 2 years to live survives with ‘fourth pillar’ of treatments

New York Post•Dec 18, 2024

Americans are living longer, thanks to pandemic's end, fewer opioid deaths

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

2051-05-05

When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

2040-04-24

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

43%

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When will the average survival rate of all cancers exceed 75%?

Make a Prediction

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

Comments

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?