53 forecasters

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

80%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Apr 29, 2023

Closes:

Dec 30, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2028

Spot Scoring Time:

May 1, 2023

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI and the race for AI-driven commerce

TechCrunch•Oct 7, 2025

OpenAI wants to build the next era of the web, and it’s shelling out billions to do it

CNN•Oct 7, 2025

ChatGPT: Suspected Chinese government operatives used ChatGPT to shape mass surveillance proposals, OpenAI says

CNN•Oct 7, 2025

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