Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

conditional
condition

Erdoğan wins 2023 Turkish Presidential Election?

Resolved :Yes
36 forecasters
if yes
if no

Swedish NATO Membership by 2024?

54%
54%
Resolved :No54%

Swedish NATO Membership by 2024?

81%
81%
Resolved :Annulled81%
0

Make a Prediction

Erdoğan wins 2023 Turkish Presidential Election?

Swedish NATO Membership by 2024?

50%
community: 54%
Community Baseline Score
-8.6
Community Peer Score
36.1
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard
Turkey
Ukraine–NATO relations
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Sweden
NATO

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