Question
How many people will die in the Sudan conflict in 2023?
Resolved :Above upper bound10kTotal Forecasters34
Community Prediction10k (10k - 10k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | >10k | — |
median | >10k | — |
upper 75% | >10k | — |
Upper bound | ||
>10k | 82.1% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
68.8
Community Peer Score
80.6
Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024