M

Question

How many people will die in the Sudan conflict in 2023?

Resolved :Above upper bound10k
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction10k (10k - 10k)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%>10k
median>10k
upper 75%>10k
Upper bound
>10k82.1%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
68.8
Community Peer Score
80.6
Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024

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