Question

When will the 10,000th human reach space?

Total Forecasters123

Community Prediction2051-05-05 (2041-09-08 - 2069-06-14)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2075-12-16
community	2041	2051	2069	20.7%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2041	—
median	2051	—
upper 75%	2069	—
Upper bound
>2075-12-16	20.7%	—

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 21, 2018

Closes:

Dec 17, 2075

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 18, 2075

Technology

Space

SpaceX Starship

Fédération Aéronautique Internationale

Space Shuttle program

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Elon Musk's Starship rocket prepares to fly again

NPR Online News•Mar 4, 2025

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