Question

How many countries will have approved the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine on June 30, 2023?

Resolved :2

13 comments13

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction2.09

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>12

...

2.03

2.09

2.25

0.3%

What was the final result?2

Authors:

NMorrison

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Closes:

Resolves:

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World Health Organization

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

77%

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

World Health Organization

‘Gamechanger’ HIV prevention drug to be made available cheaply in 120 countries

Guardian•Oct 3, 2024

Congo finally begins mpox vaccinations in a drive to slow outbreaks

Associated Press•Oct 5, 2024

Congo begins mpox vaccination rollout nearly two months after WHO declared global emergency

PBS NewsHour•Oct 6, 2024

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Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

77%

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

35%

MetaculusM

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How many countries will have approved the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine on June 30, 2023?

Make a Prediction

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Comments

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?