Question

How many countries will have approved the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine on June 30, 2023?

Resolved :22.09

10 comments10

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction2.09 (2.03 - 2.25)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>12

...

2.034

2.086

2.249

0.3%

What was the final result?2

Community Baseline Score

175.0

Community Peer Score

86.1

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

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DRC health ministry says mystery disease is ‘severe’ form of malaria

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

Congo says mystery disease behind dozens of deaths of women and children finally identified as severe malaria

CBS•Dec 18, 2024

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Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

World Health Organization

Russia To Launch Free Cancer Vaccine in 2025

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

DRC health ministry says mystery disease is ‘severe’ form of malaria

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

Congo says mystery disease behind dozens of deaths of women and children finally identified as severe malaria

CBS•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

How many countries will have approved the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine on June 30, 2023?

Make a Prediction

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?

Comments

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?