Question

Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters195

Community Prediction3% (1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 21, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Commercial Space Launch Competitiveness Act of 2015

Aerospace

London Metal Exchange

Asteroid mining

Mining

United States

Will Humans Be Living in Space in the Next 50 Years?

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Apollo To Blue Ghost: How Commercial Space Conquers The Final Frontier

Forbes•Mar 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will space mining be profitable?

2070-10-14

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

In what year will the first private citizen become a permanent off-Earth resident?

2062-04-11

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 21, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Commercial Space Launch Competitiveness Act of 2015

Aerospace

London Metal Exchange

Asteroid mining

Mining

United States

Will Humans Be Living in Space in the Next 50 Years?

•Mar 2, 2025

A new company just stamped its name on the moon

Business Insider•Mar 2, 2025

Apollo To Blue Ghost: How Commercial Space Conquers The Final Frontier

Forbes•Mar 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will space mining be profitable?

2070-10-14

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

In what year will the first private citizen become a permanent off-Earth resident?

2062-04-11