Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?

conditional

condition

DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election?

Resolved :Yes

16 forecasters

if yes

if no

Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?

55%

Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?

48%

Resolved :Annulled

1 comment1

Make a Prediction

DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election?	Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 55%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2020 Taiwanese presidential election

Tsai Ing-wen

Democratic Progressive Party

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

39%

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2020 Taiwanese presidential election

Tsai Ing-wen

Democratic Progressive Party

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2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

39%

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%