Question

Will "decision making under deep uncertainty" be mentioned in the UK Parliament in reference to Artificial Intelligence before 2031?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction49% (18% - 53%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 49%

Authors:

Will.Pearson

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Could Keir Starmer’s AI dream derail his own green energy promise?

Guardian•Jan 15, 2025

Why Starmer and Reeves are pinning their hopes on AI to drive growth in UK

Guardian•Jan 13, 2025

Collaborative research on AI safety is vital

Guardian•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Will.Pearson

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Could Keir Starmer’s AI dream derail his own green energy promise?

Guardian•Jan 15, 2025

Why Starmer and Reeves are pinning their hopes on AI to drive growth in UK

Guardian•Jan 13, 2025

Collaborative research on AI safety is vital

Guardian•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%