Question

Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No0.1%

4 comments4

Total Forecasters122

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

95.2

Community Peer Score

19.3

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Authors:

NMorrison

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Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

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When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

2028-10-06

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

16.1%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

24.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

September 11 attacks

St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index

United States

Russian financial crisis

Financial crisis of 2007–08

Silicon Valley Bank

Stock Prices May Fall On More Inflation, Slower Growth, Bitcoin Risk

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

The probability of a US recession in 2025 is 0%, according to a top economist. Here's what to worry about instead.

Business Insider•Dec 23, 2024

Veteran fund manager reveals America's fatal flaw, which could lead to a crash next year

Daily Mail•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

2028-10-06

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

16.1%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

24.1%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?

Make a Prediction

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

Comments

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?