Question

Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?

Resolved:No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters122

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

95.2

Community Peer Score

19.3

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

May 1, 2023

Closes:

Jun 30, 2023

Resolves:

Jul 6, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

May 1, 2023

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

September 11 attacks

St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index

United States

Russian financial crisis

Financial crisis of 2007–08

Silicon Valley Bank

San Francisco, June 1, 2025 (AFP) - US debt market crisis looming, JPMorgan chief warns

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Big Short investor Michael Burry liquidates entire portfolio - except for one stock

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When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

08 Jan 2028

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

May 1, 2023

Closes:

Jun 30, 2023

Resolves:

Jul 6, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

May 1, 2023

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

September 11 attacks

St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index

United States

Russian financial crisis

Financial crisis of 2007–08

Silicon Valley Bank

San Francisco, June 1, 2025 (AFP) - US debt market crisis looming, JPMorgan chief warns

•Jun 1, 2025

Is A Bond Crisis Imminent?

Forbes•Jun 1, 2025

Big Short investor Michael Burry liquidates entire portfolio - except for one stock

Daily Mail•Jun 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

08 Jan 2028

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%

Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?

Make a Prediction

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

Comments

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

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