Question

Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No0.1%

4 comments4

Total Forecasters122

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

95.2

Community Beer Score

19.3

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Economy & Business

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When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

2028-10-06

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

16.1%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

24.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

September 11 attacks

St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index

United States

Russian financial crisis

Financial crisis of 2007–08

Silicon Valley Bank

Why the last bears on Wall Street are worried about the stock market in 2025

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

There's a sign flashing in the labor market that the US may be slipping into a recession, SocGen says

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Who got it right and wrong on Wall Street in their 2024 stock market outlook

CNBC•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

2028-10-06

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

16.1%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

24.1%

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Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?

Make a Prediction

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

Comments

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?