Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Italy lose its investment-grade credit rating in May 2023?

Resolved :No8%
5
16
Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction8% (5% - 14%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
40.5
Community Peer Score
23.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Zaldath
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2023 Leaderboard
Italy
Giorgia Meloni
Moody's Investors Service

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