50 forecasters

Will Italy lose its investment-grade credit rating in May 2023?

8%chance

8%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 8% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 1, 2023

Closes:

May 18, 2023

Resolved:

Jun 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

May 1, 2023

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

France has become Italy – and not in a good way

Spectator (UK)•Sep 13, 2025

France’s Debt Woes Mount as Fitch Downgrades Credit Rating

Bloomberg•Sep 13, 2025

France’s credit rating downgraded, with debt forecast to keep rising amid political turmoil

Guardian•Sep 13, 2025

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