Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

conditional

condition

Ukraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023?

Resolved :No

if yes

if no

Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

20%

Resolved :Annulled

Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

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Ukraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023?	Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 20%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Volodymyr Zelensky

Sea of Azov

Zaporizhia Oblast

Institute for the Study of War

Ukraine

Ukraine Controls Bakhmut at End of 2024? → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

16%

Ukr captures Rylsk by October 1, 2024? → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Volodymyr Zelensky

Sea of Azov

Zaporizhia Oblast

Institute for the Study of War

Ukraine

The trajectory of Ukraine’s fight against Russia hangs on the outcome of the US election

Associated Press•Oct 28, 2024

Why Russia Will Likely Take All of Ukraine

Lew Rockwell•Oct 30, 2024

Ukraine Is Barely Surviving as All Thought of 'Victory' Disappears

PJ Media•Oct 31, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ukraine Controls Bakhmut at End of 2024? → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

16%