Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

conditional

condition

Ukraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023?

Resolved :No

20 forecasters

if yes

if no

Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

20%

Resolved :Annulled

Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

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Ukraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023?	Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 20%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Volodymyr Zelensky

Sea of Azov

Zaporizhia Oblast

Institute for the Study of War

Ukraine

Ukraine Controls Bakhmut at End of 2024? → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

15%

Ukr captures Rylsk by October 1, 2024? → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Volodymyr Zelensky

Sea of Azov

Zaporizhia Oblast

Institute for the Study of War

Ukraine

What is the future of Ukraine? Trump's return raises uncertainty of U.S. sending more aid

MSNBC•Nov 12, 2024

Ukraine latest: Bad news mounts for Ukraine across the frontlines. But Russia is under pressure too

CNN•Nov 16, 2024

Ukraine's Zelenskyy says he wants to end war with Russia through diplomacy next year

CBS•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ukraine Controls Bakhmut at End of 2024? → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

15%