Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

conditional

condition

Ukraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023?

Resolved :No

20 forecasters

if yes

if no

Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

20%

Resolved :Annulled20%

Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030

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Ukraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023?	Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 20%

The question "Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Melitopol on January 1, 2024?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?" resolves.