Question

What will be the lowest number of annual births in Japan through the year 2100?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction575k (429k - 728k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.7M

...

429.2k

575.5k

728.4k

0.1%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

May 5, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2101

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2103

Japan

Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare

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Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

73%

Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman before 2046?

What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?

2.17

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