Question

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight when it is next updated?

Resolved :No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

45.5

Community Peer Score

6.8

median 25.0%mean 29.3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Doomsday Clock

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Risk management

Public health

Global catastrophic risk

When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?

2093-06-22

Doomsday Clock and ICAN Forecasting

When will the Climate Clock hit zero?

2029-05-31

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Doomsday Clock

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Risk management

Public health

Global catastrophic risk

A new nuclear arms race is beginning. It will be far more dangerous than the last one

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

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•Nov 18, 2024

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Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?

2093-06-22

Doomsday Clock and ICAN Forecasting

When will the Climate Clock hit zero?

2029-05-31