Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight when it is next updated?

Resolved :No25%
5
4
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction25% (20% - 41%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
45.5
Community Peer Score
6.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2018 Leaderboard
Doomsday Clock
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Risk management
Public health
Global catastrophic risk

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