Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight at the end of this year?

Resolved :Ambiguous65%
35
27
Total Forecasters282
Community Prediction65% (56% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 65%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Environment & Climate
Natural Sciences
2016 Leaderboard
Doomsday Clock
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Manhattan Project
Global warming
Environmental science
Climate change denial

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