Question

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters95

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 0.1%

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Authors:

d0g

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

China–United States relations

‘No Winners’: US-China Trade War Tensions Continue To Escalate

Daily Caller•Dec 11, 2024

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

d0g

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

China–United States relations

‘No Winners’: US-China Trade War Tensions Continue To Escalate

Daily Caller•Dec 11, 2024

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%

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MetaculusM

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Comments

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?